Aaron Naughton
AN#33Western Bulldogs · 24 games · 2026 season
Line · Sportsbet main = 10.5
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DISPOSALS · LAST 5 · line 10.5
Projected · this fixture
Aaron Naughton averages 12.4 at home across 12 games, and this is a home game. The season figure is 11.5 from 24 games; the last five sit at 14.2. Cleared 10.5 in 50% of 24 games this season, with a last-ten range of 8 to 16.
= Σ(weight × value) ÷ 80, the sum of the included weights — renormalised, reproducible by hand.
Projected 12.5, line 10.5, gap +2.0. Every figure above is a recorded average, not an estimate.
Splits
every figure carries its n| Split | Avg | Over 10.5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seasonn=24 | 11.5 | 50% | — |
| Last 5n=5 | 14.2 | 80% | +24% |
| Last 10n=10 | 12.4 | 60% | +8% |
| Homen=12 | 12.4 | 67% | +8% |
| Awayn=12 | 10.6 | 33% | -8% |
| vs Collingwoodn=214, 16 | 15.0 | 2 games | — |
| WetNo rainfall history recorded for past games | — | — | — |
n is the number of recorded games behind each figure. Below 5 games no percentage is shown — the games themselves are listed instead. Trend compares that split’s average with the season average. "Over 10.5" is the share of those games above the selected disposals line.
Round by round
27 gamesGreen over 10.5, red under. • marks a round that carried a priced line of its own — elsewhere the count is measured against 10.5. “—” is a bye or an omission; the source cannot tell those apart.
R0
10
@BL
R1
15
GWS
R2
8
@ADE
R3
—
no game
R4
10
ESS
R5
7
@HAW
R6
10
@GEE
R7
7
SYD
R8
9
FRE
R9
11
@PA
R10
12
@CAR
R11
18
MEL
R12
14
COL
R13
10
@HAW
R14
11
ADE
R15
8
@STK
R16
—
no game
R17
10
@SYD
R18
14
WCE
R19
10
@GCS
R20
11
RIC
R21
—
no game
R22
10
NM
R23
14
CAR •
R24
15
@MEL •
R25
16
COL •
R26
16
@ADE
By ground
7 grounds- Docklands11.8 disposals avg · n=13
- Adelaide Oval10.5 disposals avg · n=4
- M.C.G.13.7 disposals avg · n=3
- Carrara10 · n=1
- Gabba10 · n=1
- Kardinia Park10 · n=1
- S.C.G.10 · n=1
Game log
24 games| Rd | Opponent | Disp | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| R26 | @ADEAdelaide Crows | 16 | 1 |
| R25 | vCOLCollingwood | 16 | 4 |
| R24 | @MELMelbourne | 15 | 2 |
| R23 | vCARCarlton | 14 | |
| R22 | vNMNorth Melbourne | 10 | 2 |
| R20 | vRICRichmond | 11 | 1 |
| R19 | @GCSGold Coast Suns | 10 | 1 |
| R18 | vWCEWest Coast Eagles | 14 | 5 |
| R17 | @SYDSydney Swans | 10 | 1 |
| R15 | @STKSt Kilda | 8 | 2 |
| R14 | vADEAdelaide Crows | 11 | 2 |
| R13 | @HAWHawthorn | 10 | 1 |
| R12 | vCOLCollingwood | 14 | 1 |
| R11 | vMELMelbourne | 18 | 2 |
| R10 | @CARCarlton | 12 | 3 |
| R9 | @PAPort Adelaide | 11 | 2 |
| R8 | vFREFremantle | 9 | 2 |
| R7 | vSYDSydney Swans | 7 | 1 |
| R6 | @GEEGeelong Cats | 10 | 3 |
| R5 | @HAWHawthorn | 7 | 1 |
| R4 | vESSEssendon | 10 | 3 |
| R2 | @ADEAdelaide Crows | 8 | 3 |
| R1 | vGWSGWS Giants | 15 | 6 |
| R0 | @BLBrisbane Lions | 10 | 2 |
A round with no row is a bye or an omission — the source cannot tell those apart, so nothing is filled in. A blank goals cell means the source left it blank; it is never filled with a zero.
Disposal and goal counts are the figures recorded for each match. Every figure on this page is measured against 10.5 — the over/under line, a price saved from the Sportsbet board from round 25. It is a market fact, not a live price, and not a recommendation. Hit rates state how often a recorded count cleared that line, with the sample size shown.
Analytics only, not advice