K
v2.71.0

Bailey Smith

BS#3Geelong · 23 games · 2026 season

Line · Sportsbet main = 31.5

DISPOSALS · LAST 10 · line 32.5

27R14
31R17
32R18
35R19
28R20
28R21
38R22
34R23
40R24
27R26
32.5

Projected · this fixture

31.9line 31.5+0.4

Bailey Smith averages 31.1 away across 10 games, and plays away here. The season figure is 32.4 from 23 games; the last five sit at 33.4. Cleared 31.5 in 61% of 23 games this season, with a last-ten range of 27 to 40.

Away (this fixture)40%31.1n=10
Career at Perth Stadiumexcluded · n<520%no games
Season25%32.4n=23
Last 515%33.4n=5

= Σ(weight × value) ÷ 80, the sum of the included weights — renormalised, reproducible by hand.

Projected 31.9, line 31.5, gap +0.4. Every figure above is a recorded average, not an estimate.

Splits

every figure carries its n
SplitAvgOver 32.5Trend
Seasonn=2332.452%
Last 5n=533.460% +3%
Last 10n=1032.040% -1%
Homen=1333.454% +3%
Awayn=1031.150% -4%
vs Fremantlen=13131.01 game
WetNo rainfall history recorded for past games

n is the number of recorded games behind each figure. Below 5 games no percentage is shown — the games themselves are listed instead. Trend compares that split’s average with the season average. "Over 32.5" is the share of those games above the selected disposals line.

Round by round

27 games

Green over 32.5, red under. marks a round that carried a priced line of its own — elsewhere the count is measured against 32.5. “—” is a bye or an omission; the source cannot tell those apart.

  • R0

    23

    @GCS

  • R1

    31

    FRE

  • R2

    no game

  • R3

    40

    ADE

  • R4

    33

    @HAW

  • R5

    34

    WCE

  • R6

    33

    WBD

  • R7

    30

    @PA

  • R8

    26

    NM

  • R9

    40

    COL

  • R10

    34

    @BL

  • R11

    32

    SYD

  • R12

    35

    @CAR

  • R13

    34

    @ADE

  • R14

    27

    GCS

  • R15

    no game

  • R16

    no game

  • R17

    31

    BL

  • R18

    32

    @GWS

  • R19

    35

    STK

  • R20

    28

    @MEL

  • R21

    28

    @COL

  • R22

    38

    ESS

  • R23

    34

    @NM

  • R24

    40

    RIC

  • R25

    no game

  • R26

    27

    CAR

By ground

8 grounds
  • Kardinia Park33.3 disposals avg · n=10
  • M.C.G.31.8 disposals avg · n=6
  • Adelaide Oval30, 34 · n=2
  • Carrara23 · n=1
  • Docklands34 · n=1
  • Gabba34 · n=1
  • Norwood Oval34 · n=1
  • Sydney Showground32 · n=1

Game log

23 games
RdOpponentDispGoals
R26vCAR27
R24vRIC403
R23@NM34
R22vESS38
R21@COL28
R20@MEL28
R19vSTK351
R18@GWS321
R17vBL31
R14vGCS27
R13@ADE34
R12@CAR35
R11vSYD321
R10@BL342
R9vCOL40
R8vNM26
R7@PA30
R6vWBD331
R5vWCE341
R4@HAW33
R3vADE40
R1vFRE311
R0@GCS23

A round with no row is a bye or an omission — the source cannot tell those apart, so nothing is filled in. A blank goals cell means the source left it blank; it is never filled with a zero.

Disposal and goal counts are the figures recorded for each match. Every figure on this page is measured against 32.5 — an alternative line, a price saved from the Sportsbet board from round 27. It is a market fact, not a live price, and not a recommendation. Hit rates state how often a recorded count cleared that line, with the sample size shown.

Analytics only, not advice