Bailey Smith
BS#3Geelong · 23 games · 2026 season
Line · Sportsbet main = 31.5
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DISPOSALS · LAST 20 · line 33.5
Projected · this fixture
Bailey Smith averages 31.1 away across 10 games, and plays away here. The season figure is 32.4 from 23 games; the last five sit at 33.4. Cleared 31.5 in 61% of 23 games this season, with a last-ten range of 27 to 40.
= Σ(weight × value) ÷ 80, the sum of the included weights — renormalised, reproducible by hand.
Projected 31.9, line 31.5, gap +0.4. Every figure above is a recorded average, not an estimate.
Splits
every figure carries its n| Split | Avg | Over 33.5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seasonn=23 | 32.4 | 44% | — |
| Last 5n=5 | 33.4 | 60% | +3% |
| Last 10n=10 | 32.0 | 40% | -1% |
| Homen=13 | 33.4 | 46% | +3% |
| Awayn=10 | 31.1 | 40% | -4% |
| vs Fremantlen=131 | 31.0 | 1 game | — |
| WetNo rainfall history recorded for past games | — | — | — |
n is the number of recorded games behind each figure. Below 5 games no percentage is shown — the games themselves are listed instead. Trend compares that split’s average with the season average. "Over 33.5" is the share of those games above the selected disposals line.
Round by round
27 gamesGreen over 33.5, red under. • marks a round that carried a priced line of its own — elsewhere the count is measured against 33.5. “—” is a bye or an omission; the source cannot tell those apart.
R0
23
@GCS
R1
31
FRE
R2
—
no game
R3
40
ADE
R4
33
@HAW
R5
34
WCE
R6
33
WBD
R7
30
@PA
R8
26
NM •
R9
40
COL
R10
34
@BL
R11
32
SYD
R12
35
@CAR
R13
34
@ADE
R14
27
GCS
R15
—
no game
R16
—
no game
R17
31
BL
R18
32
@GWS
R19
35
STK
R20
28
@MEL
R21
28
@COL
R22
38
ESS
R23
34
@NM •
R24
40
RIC •
R25
—
no game
R26
27
CAR
By ground
8 grounds- Kardinia Park33.3 disposals avg · n=10
- M.C.G.31.8 disposals avg · n=6
- Adelaide Oval30, 34 · n=2
- Carrara23 · n=1
- Docklands34 · n=1
- Gabba34 · n=1
- Norwood Oval34 · n=1
- Sydney Showground32 · n=1
Game log
23 games| Rd | Opponent | Disp | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| R26 | vCARCarlton | 27 | |
| R24 | vRICRichmond | 40 | 3 |
| R23 | @NMNorth Melbourne | 34 | |
| R22 | vESSEssendon | 38 | |
| R21 | @COLCollingwood | 28 | |
| R20 | @MELMelbourne | 28 | |
| R19 | vSTKSt Kilda | 35 | 1 |
| R18 | @GWSGWS Giants | 32 | 1 |
| R17 | vBLBrisbane Lions | 31 | |
| R14 | vGCSGold Coast Suns | 27 | |
| R13 | @ADEAdelaide Crows | 34 | |
| R12 | @CARCarlton | 35 | |
| R11 | vSYDSydney Swans | 32 | 1 |
| R10 | @BLBrisbane Lions | 34 | 2 |
| R9 | vCOLCollingwood | 40 | |
| R8 | vNMNorth Melbourne | 26 | |
| R7 | @PAPort Adelaide | 30 | |
| R6 | vWBDWestern Bulldogs | 33 | 1 |
| R5 | vWCEWest Coast Eagles | 34 | 1 |
| R4 | @HAWHawthorn | 33 | |
| R3 | vADEAdelaide Crows | 40 | |
| R1 | vFREFremantle | 31 | 1 |
| R0 | @GCSGold Coast Suns | 23 |
A round with no row is a bye or an omission — the source cannot tell those apart, so nothing is filled in. A blank goals cell means the source left it blank; it is never filled with a zero.
Disposal and goal counts are the figures recorded for each match. Every figure on this page is measured against 33.5 — an alternative line, a price saved from the Sportsbet board from round 27. It is a market fact, not a live price, and not a recommendation. Hit rates state how often a recorded count cleared that line, with the sample size shown.
Analytics only, not advice