K
v2.71.0

Darcy Wilmot

DW#44Brisbane Lions · 24 games · 2026 season

Line · Sportsbet main = 22.5

DISPOSALS · LAST 20 · line 21.5

R5
R7
R9
R11
R13
R16
R18
R20
R22
R24
21.5

Projected · this fixture

20.9line 22.51.6

Darcy Wilmot averages 21.8 away across 13 games, and plays away here. The season figure is 21.4 from 24 games; the last five sit at 17.8. Cleared 22.5 in 50% of 24 games this season, with a last-ten range of 13 to 26.

Away (this fixture)40%21.8n=13
Career at Docklandsexcluded · n<520%20.0n=3
Season25%21.4n=24
Last 515%17.8n=5

= Σ(weight × value) ÷ 80, the sum of the included weights — renormalised, reproducible by hand.

Projected 20.9, line 22.5, gap −1.6. Every figure above is a recorded average, not an estimate.

Splits

every figure carries its n
SplitAvgOver 21.5Trend
Seasonn=2421.450%
Last 5n=517.820% -17%
Last 10n=1019.030% -11%
Homen=1121.046% -2%
Awayn=1321.854% +2%
vs Essendonn=232, 2327.52 games
WetNo rainfall history recorded for past games

n is the number of recorded games behind each figure. Below 5 games no percentage is shown — the games themselves are listed instead. Trend compares that split’s average with the season average. "Over 21.5" is the share of those games above the selected disposals line.

Round by round

27 games

Green over 21.5, red under. marks a round that carried a priced line of its own — elsewhere the count is measured against 21.5. “—” is a bye or an omission; the source cannot tell those apart.

  • R0

    23

    WBD

  • R1

    24

    @SYD

  • R2

    no game

  • R3

    15

    @STK

  • R4

    21

    COL

  • R5

    14

    @NM

  • R6

    27

    @MEL

  • R7

    21

    ADE

  • R8

    32

    @ESS

  • R9

    13

    CAR

  • R10

    30

    GEE

  • R11

    27

    @GWS

  • R12

    26

    FRE

  • R13

    25

    @GCS

  • R14

    26

    @RIC

  • R15

    no game

  • R16

    16

    SYD

  • R17

    26

    @GEE

  • R18

    23

    ESS

  • R19

    20

    @WCE

  • R20

    16

    PA

  • R21

    13

    @CAR

  • R22

    19

    HAW

  • R23

    23

    GCS

  • R24

    15

    @COL

  • R25

    no game

  • R26

    19

    @SYD

By ground

10 grounds
  • Gabba21.0 disposals avg · n=11
  • Docklands20.0 disposals avg · n=3
  • M.C.G.27, 15 · n=2
  • S.C.G.24, 19 · n=2
  • Barossa Park14 · n=1
  • Bellerive Oval26 · n=1
  • Carrara25 · n=1
  • Kardinia Park26 · n=1
  • Perth Stadium20 · n=1
  • Sydney Showground27 · n=1

Game log

24 games
RdOpponentDispGoals
R26@SYD19
R24@COL15
R23vGCS23
R22vHAW19
R21@CAR13
R20vPA16
R19@WCE20
R18vESS23
R17@GEE26
R16vSYD16
R14@RIC26
R13@GCS25
R12vFRE26
R11@GWS27
R10vGEE30
R9vCAR13
R8@ESS321
R7vADE21
R6@MEL27
R5@NM14
R4vCOL21
R3@STK15
R1@SYD24
R0vWBD23

A round with no row is a bye or an omission — the source cannot tell those apart, so nothing is filled in. A blank goals cell means the source left it blank; it is never filled with a zero.

Disposal and goal counts are the figures recorded for each match. Every figure on this page is measured against 21.5 — an alternative line, a price saved from the Sportsbet board from round 8. It is a market fact, not a live price, and not a recommendation. Hit rates state how often a recorded count cleared that line, with the sample size shown.

Analytics only, not advice