Max Holmes
MH#9Geelong · 19 games · 2026 season
Line · Sportsbet main = 22.5
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DISPOSALS · LAST 10 · line 24.5
Projected · this fixture
Max Holmes averages 27.9 away across 8 games, and plays away here. The season figure is 28.5 from 19 games; the last five sit at 26.0. Cleared 22.5 in 95% of 19 games this season, with a last-ten range of 16 to 35.
= Σ(weight × value) ÷ 80, the sum of the included weights — renormalised, reproducible by hand.
Projected 27.7, line 22.5, gap +5.2. Every figure above is a recorded average, not an estimate.
Splits
every figure carries its n| Split | Avg | Over 24.5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seasonn=19 | 28.5 | 90% | — |
| Last 5n=5 | 26.0 | 60% | -9% |
| Last 10n=10 | 27.7 | 80% | -3% |
| Homen=11 | 28.9 | 82% | +2% |
| Awayn=8 | 27.9 | 100% | -2% |
| vs Fremantlen=232, 27 | 29.5 | 2 games | — |
| WetNo rainfall history recorded for past games | — | — | — |
n is the number of recorded games behind each figure. Below 5 games no percentage is shown — the games themselves are listed instead. Trend compares that split’s average with the season average. "Over 24.5" is the share of those games above the selected disposals line.
Round by round
27 gamesGreen over 24.5, red under. • marks a round that carried a priced line of its own — elsewhere the count is measured against 24.5. “—” is a bye or an omission; the source cannot tell those apart.
R0
29
@GCS
R1
32
FRE
R2
—
no game
R3
27
ADE
R4
27
@HAW
R5
34
WCE
R6
28
WBD
R7
25
@PA
R8
29
NM
R9
33
COL
R10
26
@BL
R11
35
SYD
R12
25
@CAR
R13
30
@ADE
R14
31
GCS
R15
27
@FRE
R16
—
no game
R17
30
BL
R18
34
@GWS
R19
23
STK
R20
—
no game
R21
—
no game
R22
—
no game
R23
—
no game
R24
—
no game
R25
—
no game
R26
16
CAR
By ground
8 grounds- Kardinia Park29.4 disposals avg · n=8
- M.C.G.25.3 disposals avg · n=4
- Adelaide Oval25, 30 · n=2
- Carrara29 · n=1
- Gabba26 · n=1
- Norwood Oval34 · n=1
- Perth Stadium27 · n=1
- Sydney Showground34 · n=1
Game log
19 games| Rd | Opponent | Disp | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| R26 | vCARCarlton | 16 | 1 |
| R19 | vSTKSt Kilda | 23 | |
| R18 | @GWSGWS Giants | 34 | |
| R17 | vBLBrisbane Lions | 30 | |
| R15 | @FREFremantle | 27 | |
| R14 | vGCSGold Coast Suns | 31 | 1 |
| R13 | @ADEAdelaide Crows | 30 | |
| R12 | @CARCarlton | 25 | |
| R11 | vSYDSydney Swans | 35 | |
| R10 | @BLBrisbane Lions | 26 | |
| R9 | vCOLCollingwood | 33 | |
| R8 | vNMNorth Melbourne | 29 | 2 |
| R7 | @PAPort Adelaide | 25 | |
| R6 | vWBDWestern Bulldogs | 28 | |
| R5 | vWCEWest Coast Eagles | 34 | |
| R4 | @HAWHawthorn | 27 | |
| R3 | vADEAdelaide Crows | 27 | 1 |
| R1 | vFREFremantle | 32 | |
| R0 | @GCSGold Coast Suns | 29 |
A round with no row is a bye or an omission — the source cannot tell those apart, so nothing is filled in. A blank goals cell means the source left it blank; it is never filled with a zero.
Disposal and goal counts are the figures recorded for each match. Every figure on this page is measured against 24.5 — an alternative line, a price saved from the Sportsbet board from round 27. It is a market fact, not a live price, and not a recommendation. Hit rates state how often a recorded count cleared that line, with the sample size shown.
Analytics only, not advice