Sam Swadling
SSCollingwood · 9 games · 2026 season
Line · Sportsbet main = 22.5
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DISPOSALS · LAST 5 · line 20.5
Projected · this fixture
Sam Swadling plays away here, with 4 away games recorded — below the 5-game minimum, so that split is excluded and the weights renormalise. At M.C.G. the career average is 22.0 from 6. The season figure is 20.0 from 9 games; the last five sit at 24.0. Cleared 22.5 in 33% of 9 games this season, with a last-ten range of 8 to 32.
= Σ(weight × value) ÷ 60, the sum of the included weights — renormalised, reproducible by hand.
Projected 21.7, line 22.5, gap −0.8. Every figure above is a recorded average, not an estimate.
Splits
every figure carries its n| Split | Avg | Over 20.5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seasonn=9 | 20.0 | 33% | — |
| Last 5n=5 | 24.0 | 60% | +20% |
| Last 10n=9 | 20.0 | 33% | 0% |
| Homen=5 | 17.0 | 20% | -15% |
| Awayn=420, 14, 29, 32 | 23.8 | 4 games | — |
| vs Western Bulldogsn=132 | 32.0 | 1 game | — |
| WetNo rainfall history recorded for past games | — | — | — |
n is the number of recorded games behind each figure. Below 5 games no percentage is shown — the games themselves are listed instead. Trend compares that split’s average with the season average. "Over 20.5" is the share of those games above the selected disposals line.
Round by round
11 gamesGreen over 20.5, red under. • marks a round that carried a priced line of its own — elsewhere the count is measured against 20.5. “—” is a bye or an omission; the source cannot tell those apart.
R15
18
PA
R16
8
RIC
R17
20
@GCS
R18
14
NM
R19
13
CAR
R20
—
no game
R21
—
no game
R22
14
@WCE
R23
29
@HAW •
R24
32
BL •
R25
32
@WBD •
By ground
4 grounds- M.C.G.22.0 disposals avg · n=6
- Carrara20 · n=1
- Docklands14 · n=1
- Perth Stadium14 · n=1
Game log
9 games| Rd | Opponent | Disp | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| R25 | @WBDWestern Bulldogs | 32 | |
| R24 | vBLBrisbane Lions | 32 | 1 |
| R23 | @HAWHawthorn | 29 | |
| R22 | @WCEWest Coast Eagles | 14 | 1 |
| R19 | vCARCarlton | 13 | 1 |
| R18 | vNMNorth Melbourne | 14 | 1 |
| R17 | @GCSGold Coast Suns | 20 | 1 |
| R16 | vRICRichmond | 8 | |
| R15 | vPAPort Adelaide | 18 | 1 |
A round with no row is a bye or an omission — the source cannot tell those apart, so nothing is filled in. A blank goals cell means the source left it blank; it is never filled with a zero.
Disposal and goal counts are the figures recorded for each match. Every figure on this page is measured against 20.5 — an alternative line, a price saved from the Sportsbet board from round 25. It is a market fact, not a live price, and not a recommendation. Hit rates state how often a recorded count cleared that line, with the sample size shown.
Analytics only, not advice