Tim Kelly
TK#11West Coast · 21 games · 2026 season
Line · Sportsbet main = 23.5
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DISPOSALS · LAST 20 · line 25.5
Projected · this fixture
Tim Kelly averages 24.1 away across 10 games, and plays away here. The season figure is 24.0 from 21 games; the last five sit at 27.0. Cleared 23.5 in 57% of 21 games this season, with a last-ten range of 17 to 31.
= Σ(weight × value) ÷ 80, the sum of the included weights — renormalised, reproducible by hand.
Projected 24.6, line 23.5, gap +1.1. Every figure above is a recorded average, not an estimate.
Splits
every figure carries its n| Split | Avg | Over 25.5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seasonn=21 | 24.0 | 33% | — |
| Last 5n=5 | 27.0 | 60% | +13% |
| Last 10n=10 | 24.6 | 50% | +3% |
| Homen=11 | 23.9 | 36% | -0% |
| Awayn=10 | 24.1 | 30% | +0% |
| vs Greater Western Sydneyn=224, 28 | 26.0 | 2 games | — |
| WetNo rainfall history recorded for past games | — | — | — |
n is the number of recorded games behind each figure. Below 5 games no percentage is shown — the games themselves are listed instead. Trend compares that split’s average with the season average. "Over 25.5" is the share of those games above the selected disposals line.
Round by round
23 gamesGreen over 25.5, red under. • marks a round that carried a priced line of its own — elsewhere the count is measured against 25.5. “—” is a bye or an omission; the source cannot tell those apart.
R2
20
NM
R3
23
@PA
R4
24
SYD
R5
22
@GEE
R6
24
FRE
R7
19
@STK
R8
30
RIC •
R9
25
@MEL
R10
24
GWS
R11
19
@COL
R12
28
ESS
R13
26
PA
R14
27
@NM
R15
—
no game
R16
—
no game
R17
19
ADE
R18
22
@WBD
R19
17
BL
R20
31
@FRE
R21
25
@RIC
R22
23
COL
R23
28
@GWS •
R24
28
HAW •
By ground
6 grounds- Perth Stadium24.7 disposals avg · n=13
- Docklands22.0 disposals avg · n=3
- M.C.G.19, 25 · n=2
- Adelaide Oval23 · n=1
- Norwood Oval22 · n=1
- Sydney Showground28 · n=1
Game log
21 games| Rd | Opponent | Disp | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| R24 | vHAWHawthorn | 28 | |
| R23 | @GWSGWS Giants | 28 | |
| R22 | vCOLCollingwood | 23 | 1 |
| R21 | @RICRichmond | 25 | |
| R20 | @FREFremantle | 31 | |
| R19 | vBLBrisbane Lions | 17 | |
| R18 | @WBDWestern Bulldogs | 22 | |
| R17 | vADEAdelaide Crows | 19 | |
| R14 | @NMNorth Melbourne | 27 | |
| R13 | vPAPort Adelaide | 26 | |
| R12 | vESSEssendon | 28 | |
| R11 | @COLCollingwood | 19 | |
| R10 | vGWSGWS Giants | 24 | |
| R9 | @MELMelbourne | 25 | |
| R8 | vRICRichmond | 30 | 1 |
| R7 | @STKSt Kilda | 19 | |
| R6 | vFREFremantle | 24 | |
| R5 | @GEEGeelong Cats | 22 | |
| R4 | vSYDSydney Swans | 24 | |
| R3 | @PAPort Adelaide | 23 | |
| R2 | vNMNorth Melbourne | 20 |
A round with no row is a bye or an omission — the source cannot tell those apart, so nothing is filled in. A blank goals cell means the source left it blank; it is never filled with a zero.
Disposal and goal counts are the figures recorded for each match. Every figure on this page is measured against 25.5 — an alternative line, a price saved from the Sportsbet board from round 23. It is a market fact, not a live price, and not a recommendation. Hit rates state how often a recorded count cleared that line, with the sample size shown.
Analytics only, not advice